Elon University
The prediction, in brief:

There is a broad consensus in government and industry that the National Information Infrastructure, as the Clinton Administration prefers to call the info highway, will be a broadband, switched network that could, in theory, deliver all … things. But how it will be structured and how it will be deployed are not so clear.

Predictor: Elmer-DeWitt, Philip

Prediction, in context:

In a 1995 article for Time magazine, Philip Elmer-DeWitt writes: ”The Internet is changing rapidly. Lately a lot of the development efforts – and most of the press attention – have shifted from the rough-and-tumble Usenet newsgroups to the more passive and consumer-oriented ‘home pages’ of the World Wide Web – a system of links that simplifies the task of navigating among the myriad offerings on the Internet. The Net, many old-timers complain, is turning into a shopping mall. But unless it proves to be a total bust for business, that trend is likely to continue … There is a broad consensus in government and industry that the National Information Infrastructure, as the Clinton Administration prefers to call the info highway, will be a broadband, switched network that could, in theory, deliver all … things. But how it will be structured and how it will be deployed are not so clear … Everybody wants to build a fat pipeline going into the home, but how much bandwidth needs to be set aside for the signal going from the home back to the network? … How these design issues are decided in the months ahead could change the shape of cyberspace.”

Date of prediction: January 1, 1995

Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure

Subtopic: General

Name of publication: Time

Title, headline, chapter name: Welcome to Cyberspace

Quote Type: Direct quote

Page number or URL of document at time of study:
Vol. 145, Issue 12, Page 4 ISSN: 0040781X

This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Uhlfelder, Evelyn C.