Internet will become a less U.S.-centric and more international operation. Much of the Internet will be operated by commercial concerns on a a profit-making basis, thereby opening up the Internet to unrestricted use. The telephone companies, including both the local exchange carriers and the interexchange carriers, will start providing some of the protocol stack other than the point-to-point lines.
Predictor: Crocker, Steve
Prediction, in context:Steve Crocker makes the following remark in a 1991 autobiography he wrote for the Internet Society. Here, he is answering his own question: How will the Internet evolve? He answers it in parts. The first part is titled “Regularization, Internationalization and Commercialization.” He writes: ”Standards will become even more important than they are now. Implementations of protocols and related mechanisms will become more standard and robust. The relationship between the TCP/IP stack and the OSI stack will be resolved, with either both co-existing, OSI winning out, or some intermediate convergence emerging. The Internet will become a less U.S.-centric and more international operation. Much of the Internet will be operated by commercial concerns on a a profit-making basis, thereby opening up the Internet to unrestricted use. The telephone companies, including both the local exchange carriers and the interexchange carriers, will start providing some of the protocol stack other than the point-to-point lines.”
Biography:Steve Crocker was probably best known in the 1990s as the founder of CyberCash Inc. a leading Internet payments company. Earlier, he was program manager on the team developing the protocols for ARPANET in 1966. In1968, he organized the Network Working Group to develop host-level protocols for ARPANET communication. He began the Request for Comment (RFC) series of notes through which Internet protocol designs are documented and shared, and he wrote RFC 1 and many others. In1970, he worked with Vinton Cerf and C.S. Carr to publish the first ARPANET host-host protocol. He later became known as an Internet and computer business and security specialist. (Pioneer/Originator.)
Date of prediction: January 1, 1991
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Role of Govt./Industry
Name of publication: Requests For Comments
Title, headline, chapter name: Who’s Who in the Internet
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.faqs.org/rfcs/rfc1251.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Culp, William Jarrell