By the end of the year … the total number of users on the Internet is going to be as big as cable. U.S. cable serves 60 million homes; we’re currently at 25 million Internet users. By the end of the year, that will be 50 million. By the middle of next year, you’ll be over and above what U.S. cable operations touch.
Predictor: Clark, Jim
Prediction, in context:In a 1994 article for Wired magazine, Michael Goldberg interviews Mosaic executive and former Silicon Graphics Inc. CEO Jim Clark. Goldberg quotes Clark saying: ”Even by the end of the year, based on current growth rates, the total number of users on the Internet is going to be as big as cable. U.S. cable serves 60 million homes; we’re currently at 25 million Internet users. By the end of the year, that will be 50 million. By the middle of next year, you’ll be over and above what U.S. cable operations touch. It’s a big market, and no single entity is in control of it. It’s much more organic and grass-roots, which I find appealing.”
Date of prediction: January 1, 1994
Topic of prediction: Information Infrastructure
Subtopic: Number of Users
Name of publication: Wired
Title, headline, chapter name: Why Jim Clark Loves Mosaic: After Leaving Silicon Graphics, Jim Clark Wanted to Get Into the Interactive-Television Business, But Wasn’t Sure Where the Next Fire Would Strike. With Mosaic, Clark Thinks He Has Found the Spark
Quote Type: Direct quote
Page number or URL of document at time of study:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/2.10/jim.clark_pr.html
This data was logged into the Elon/Pew Predictions Database by: Anderson, Janna Quitney